Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 28 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Max Strus | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 36 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 29 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 12-17 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 19 | - | |
| Cody Martin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
* = starter