Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (100-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 10-19 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ty-Shon Alexander | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 26 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter