Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (80-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 28 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Max Strus | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter