Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (90-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 32 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 10-16 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 33 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Coby White * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter