Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 25 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 2-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 30 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 28 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 28 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter