Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (124-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 11-26 | 2-9 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 23 | 4-17 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 12-22 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 32 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter