Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +27 (122-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 27 | 1-14 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 24 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 16 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 20 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 31 | 11-17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter