Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -5 (97-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 34 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 18 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 24 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 38 | 15-27 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 29 | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 33 | 10-19 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 20 | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Khem Birch | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Gary Clark | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter