Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (94-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 39 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 12 | 1-9 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 7-21 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 34 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 23 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter