Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (122-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 36 | 13-18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 20 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 27 | 6-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 17 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 27 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 26 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 19 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter