Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 34 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 30 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 13 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 8-13 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 3-12 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 28 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 25 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter