Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 36 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 26 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 26 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 21 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 20 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 13-16 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 30 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 35 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter