Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +3 (137-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Olynyk * | 45 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 45 | 8-18 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 12-26 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 20 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 36 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - | |
| Max Strus | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Green * | 49 | 10-25 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - | |
| Mike Scott * | 46 | 6-16 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 39 | 16-23 | 0-3 | 13-13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 48 | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Ben Simmons * | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 37 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Dakota Mathias | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter