Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (106-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ben Simmons * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 21 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 23 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter