Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (115-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 35 | 11-17 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 26 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 26 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 24 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Max Strus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter