Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 38 | 11-18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Coby White * | 37 | 11-18 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 37 | 8-17 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter