Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +17 (125-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Olynyk * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 34 | 6-17 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Max Strus | 27 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 27 | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 29 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Danny Green * | 25 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 25 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Shake Milton | 27 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 28 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Mike Scott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Dakota Mathias | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter