Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -20 (100-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington * | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 21 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 21 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deividas Sirvydis | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 15 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter