Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 38 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 10-15 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 8-14 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 27 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter