Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (100-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 11-23 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 26 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 28 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter