Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (109-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 37 | 10-15 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Claxton | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 29 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 31 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter