Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +4 (128-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 41 | 6-15 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 14-20 | 1-1 | 12-14 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 30 | 7-18 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 32 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 36 | 8-14 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 11-19 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Perry | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter