Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (113-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 33 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 21 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Dean Wade | 17 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Olynyk * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 30 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 31 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter