Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -17 (107-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 36 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 23 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 25 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 38 | 8-20 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 29 | 9-14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 30 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter