Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -9 (98-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter