Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 8-15 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 29 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 20 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 15 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter