Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 40 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 39 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 25 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 24 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 31 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 30 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter