Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (124-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 31 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 19 | 7-10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 25 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 23 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter