Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (121-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 41 | 10-19 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 25 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 23 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 30 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 32 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 10-13 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter