Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 20 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter