Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 22 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 25 | 8-14 | 4-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell | 23 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 22 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 22 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter