Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (121-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 41 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 41 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 39 | 11-18 | 9-13 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 24 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 19 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter