Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 1-10 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 10-19 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 34 | 5-17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Max Strus | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 6-21 | 3-12 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| James Harden * | 34 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 33 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Reggie Perry | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter