Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -10 (93-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Olynyk * | 36 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 10-14 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 41 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 30 | 4-16 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 17 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter