Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +7 (125-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 40 | 11-20 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mann * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 25 | 11-15 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 32 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Patrick Patterson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter