Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 10-16 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 34 | 11-21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 24 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 17 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Justin James | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter