Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - | |
| Coby White * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 32 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen | 23 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 27 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - | |
| Max Strus | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter