Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -10 (111-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 29 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter