Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 37 | 13-21 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 19 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter