Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 26 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 37 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 31 | 7-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter