Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks -10 (88-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 26 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 17 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter