Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (105-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 12-26 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 25 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 14-16 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - | |
| KZ Okpala * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 25 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | |
| Max Strus | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter