Miami Heat
2009 Team Stats (74 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1003 (#15) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1022 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 991 (#15) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.6 (#13) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.8 (#12) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.509 (#13) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.515 (#12) | NetEff +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.512 (#13) | AdjNet +0.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.512 (#13) | AdjNet +0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.514 (#13) | AdjO 96.6 | AdjD 96.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.515 (#12) | AdjO 96.7 | AdjD 96.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.508 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.508 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1009 (#13) | RD 178 | GP 89 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade | G | 71 | 38.2 | 30.1 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 21.9 | 20.6 | 51 | 12 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 49.2 | 30.3 | 76.5 | 0.18 | 57.4 | 51.4 |
| Michael Beasley | G | 73 | 24.2 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 7.8 | 38 | 12 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 47.6 | 42.6 | 76.1 | 0.09 | 53.0 | 49.3 |
Jermaine O'Neal
|
G | 25 | 29.3 | 12.4 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 9.1 | -16 | 12 | -1.3 | -1.2 | 47.3 | 0 | 73.1 | -0.05 | 50.7 | 47.3 |
| Shawn Marion | G | 38 | 36.0 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 10.7 | 13.4 | 43 | 10 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 48.9 | 22.9 | 77.9 | 0.15 | 52.9 | 49.9 |
Udonis Haslem
|
G | 67 | 33.7 | 10.6 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 48 | 12 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 53.0 | 0 | 71.8 | 0.16 | 55.8 | 53.0 |
| Mario Chalmers | G | 74 | 31.7 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 30 | 12 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 41.6 | 36.8 | 75.4 | 0.05 | 54.0 | 50.0 |
| Daequan Cook | G | 68 | 24.7 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 55 | 12 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 37.9 | 39.4 | 87.5 | 0.21 | 52.0 | 50.1 |
| Jamario Moon | G | 24 | 25.9 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 7.4 | -33 | 12 | -2.8 | -3.0 | 46.4 | 37.9 | 86.7 | -0.18 | 57.3 | 55.4 |
| Chris Quinn | G | 59 | 14.7 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 31 | 10 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 41.4 | 39.0 | 78.8 | 0.09 | 53.6 | 50.4 |
| Luther Head | G | 9 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 33.3 | 62.5 | -0.15 | 43.7 | 41.2 |
James Jones
|
G | 38 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 33.0 | 85.2 | - | 51.0 | 47.2 |
| Mark Blount | G | 18 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 23 | 9 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 42.2 | 43.5 | 61.5 | 0.09 | 51.6 | 50.0 |
| Yakhouba Diawara | G | 57 | 13.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 11 | 10 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 33.5 | 31.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 46.2 | 45.2 |
Jamaal Magloire
|
G | 52 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 51.6 | 0 | 48.3 | - | 52.2 | 51.6 |
| Dorell Wright | F | 6 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 39.8 | 40.0 |
| Shaun Livingston | G | 3 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.04 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Joel Anthony | G | 59 | 16.1 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -10 | 9 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 49.1 | 0 | 64.1 | -0.17 | 52.3 | 49.1 |
| Marcus Banks | G | 15 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 30.3 | 15.4 | 64.3 | -0.18 | 39.6 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG