Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 10-22 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 29 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 21 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher * | 42 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 39 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter