Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 37 | 9-12 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Eddie House * | 26 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gabe Pruitt * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Leon Powe * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Patrick O'Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 41 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 38 | 8-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| James Jones | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter