Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +8 (85-77). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Chalmers * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 8-21 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Luther Head * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 44 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Willie Green * | 23 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donyell Marshall | 10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter