Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 38 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 7-16 | 4-5 | 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 25 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Adam Morrison * | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Sean May * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 12-22 | 2-4 | 15-19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 25 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mark Blount | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter