Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (103-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Hawes * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Douby * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 18 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Donte Greene | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter