Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| James Jones * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James Singleton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter