Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daequan Cook * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 31 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| James Jones * | 30 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luther Head * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 47 | 14-23 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 27 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 47 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Henry Walker * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gabe Pruitt * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter